Dallas Mavericks (+5) at Miami Heat (-5)
The Pick: Mavericks +5
Heat vs. Mavericks Betting Overview
Dallas has a chance to close out the NBA Championship series with a win and put the best team money can buy back to the drawing board. Dirk Nowitzki will hope to close it out on Sunday in Game 6 and LeBron James will try to have a complete game to move it to a tied series. Let’s preview each team and then check the odds for out prediction.
Miami Heat News and Betting Tips for Sunday, June 12, 2011
James had a good game going until he faded in the fourth quarter. His legacy is being built and a loss tonight will tarnish the star he has been polishing. Dwayne Wade has a hip contusion and is slowed in his game. James finished with two points in the final quarter even though he had a triple-double with 17 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists in the game. James’ scoring average in the three games in Dallas. He averaged 26.7 points in the regular season and is at nearly 24 points per game in the postseason, even with his struggles in Texas.Wade chipped in 23 points but his mobility was stymied. Wade has shot 50 percent or better in each of the last four games, and was just a shade below that mark in Game 1.Chris Bosh has to begin contributing on a regular basis for this team to win.
Dallas Mavericks News and Betting Tips for Sunday, June 12, 2011
Dallas was on fire shooting the 3-pointer. With another fourth quarter comeback they fired away and completed 13 of 19 attempts to win by nine points. Dirk Nowitzki had 29 points in 9-for-18 shooting while Jason Terry added 21 points in a reserve role. The Mavericks allowed Miami to shoot 53 percent from the floor but forced 16 turnovers. J.J. Barea finally had the breakout game Dallas fans were waiting for, scoring 17 points after managing just 21 in the first four games of the series.
Our Mavericks vs. Heat Pick and Predictions
The old adage that says there is no tomorrow is basically true for the Miami Heat. With their backs up against the wall they must play with intensity and fire throughout the entire game and not allow the Mavericks another chance at a fourth quarter comeback. Dallas must continue their stifling defensive pressure that comes from Shawn Marion and Terry to keep the Big Three at bay. The series moves to the American Airlines Center in Miami and will have rabid Heat fans there to spur them on. With our free pick and prediction this series will go to Game 7 as the Miami Heat may win this game but the odds show Dallas +5 and our bet is for them to cover the spread.
Our Pick: Mavericks +5
In-depth Mavericks at Heat Betting Trends
ATS Trends
| Dallas |
- Mavericks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Mavericks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Mavericks are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
- Mavericks are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog.
- Mavericks are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
- Mavericks are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
- Mavericks are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 Sunday games.
- Mavericks are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
- Mavericks are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog.
- Mavericks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Mavericks are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Southeast.
- Mavericks are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Mavericks are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Mavericks are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win.
- Mavericks are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
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| Miami |
- Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
- Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
- Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
- Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite.
- Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Heat are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Heat are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
- Heat are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games.
- Heat are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 2 days rest.
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OU Trends
| Dallas |
- Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
- Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Mavericks last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Mavericks last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Mavericks last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.
- Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Mavericks last 6 NBA Championship games.
- Under is 10-3-1 in Mavericks last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mavericks last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mavericks last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mavericks last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mavericks last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mavericks last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
- Over is 8-3-1 in Mavericks last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Over is 16-6 in Mavericks last 22 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 10-4 in Mavericks last 14 games following a S.U. win.
- Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 13-6-1 in Mavericks last 20 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
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| Miami |
- Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
- Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
- Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
- Under is 5-0 in Heat last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Heat last 9 playoff games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Heat last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Heat last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Heat last 8 home games.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Heat last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Heat last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Heat last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Heat last 6 vs. Western Conference.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Heat last 6 NBA Championship games.
- Under is 17-5 in Heat last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Heat last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Heat last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Heat last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
- Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
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Head to Head
- Mavericks are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Miami.
- Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
- Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Road team is 12-3-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
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