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NFL Picks: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Free Pick and Prediction

Overview

The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos will square off in the final weekend of the season. The Chiefs are 6-9 on the season, following their divisional title last season. Kansas City has been hampered by injuries, but would love to knock off the Broncos and spoil their playoff chances. Denver is 8-7, following two straight losses. The Broncos need a win to seal up the fourth seed in the NFC, and host the Steelers or Ravens. This game features former Broncos quarterback Kyle Orton against current Broncos quarterback Tim Tebow.

Denver Broncos (-3.5)

The Broncos are looking to finish the regular season with a .500 home record. The last time the Broncos won at home, was on December 11th, when they battled back to beat the Chicago Bears in overtime. Denver’s Eric Decker has had a break-out season, with 9 touchdown receptions. Willis McGahee leads the Denver running attack, which is the best in the league with over 160 yards per game. Denver beat the Chiefs 17-10 in the last meeting between these two teams.

Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5)

The Kansas City Chiefs offense has been nothing but a struggle this season. The Chiefs lost their top running back and their quarterback. Kansas City went with Tyler Palko for a while, but are finishing the season with Kyle Orton. The Chiefs top offensive threat has been Dwayne Bowe, with over 1,000 yards and 5 touchdowns. Kansas City’s defense has kept them alive in games, as they are in the middle of the pack allowing 337.8 yards per game. The Chiefs have seen the under hit in nine out of their last ten games overall.

Conclusion

The Denver Broncos need this win in a bad way. They cannot rely on the Chargers to beat the Raiders on the road. Tim Tebow had his worst game as a professional last week in the loss to the Bills. Look for the home crowd to be fired up for this game. Both Tebow and Orton will want to prove a lot going against each other in this game. In the end, we feel the Broncos offense is just a bit better than the Chiefs offense. By less than a touchdown, but enough to cover the spread – Denver will win this game. Our final bet is the Denver Broncos -3.5 over the Kansas City Chiefs.

Kansas City:
  • Under is 8-0 in KC last 8 vs. AFC West.
  • Under is 7-1 in KC last 8 vs. AFC.
  • Under is 8-2 in KC last 10 games in Week 17.
Denver:
  • Over is 7-1 in DEN last 8 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 11-2 in DEN last 13 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 10-3 in DEN last 13 home games.
Head to Head:
  • Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.
  • KC are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Denver.

Match Date - Sunday, January 01, 2012

Pick: Denver Broncos -3.5

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