Today’s main slate is a nice compact 6 game slate without a lot of clear options to choose from. There are not any extremely high-priced pitchers and a lot of intriguing stacks to choose from. I think nailing the pitching will give you a leg up on your competition.
Andrew Heaney is a talented pitcher that has struggled through injuries before this year. This season, he has been rather inconsistent, but he has flashed a lot of upside games. In his last 7 games, Heaney has scored over 20 points in 5 starts and gotten negative points in the other 2 games. He has been the definition of a boom or bust play. I don’t mind taking Heaney tonight in GPP’s for the upside that he just recently showed vs. the Dodgers, striking out 10 of them just 6 days ago.
Mike Clevinger is an ownership play for me tonight. Clevinger has really good breaking stuff and the Yankees have the ability to strikeout a lot vs. the arm talent Clevinger possesses. On the other hand, the Yankees can go nuclear in any spot and I don’t suggest playing a chalk pitcher against the Yankees in any situation. If Clevinger is the chalk, I’ll stack the Yankees and if he isn’t, I really like the strikeout spot for Clevinger.
Jon Gray is a very talented pitcher who has seen extreme bad luck this year. Gray was recently sent down to AAA even though he is posting an elite xFIP and K-rate. The numbers show that Gray is struggling while in the stretch. His walk rate goes way up, all of his advanced numbers get much worse, and he becomes a bad pitcher. Hopefully, the Rockies identified this weakness and sent him down to work on that kink in his game. If they did, Gray should be a great option tonight. If not Gray is either going to be great or horrible. With these pitchers, I think I’ll hope for the former and take Gray in my GPP lineups.
CC Sabathia generally limits the damage and turns in a decent start. This is a bad spot for CC in theory, but he seems to be in control of how well he does on a given day. When he’s on, he seems to be able to stop elite offenses and when he’s off, a double-A team could destroy him. This slate doesn’t offer many options, so I think hoping for “good CC” is very much in play.
The bottom tier is horrible and I don’t want any, but here is a list of the bottom tier guys from best to worst:
Baltimore is a right-handed heavy, power-hitting team in a warm Camden Yards in a matchup with lefty Martin Perez. Perez has homerun problems and this could go very badly for him. I think playing Baltimore as one-offs hoping to hit the home run or two or as a stack, in hopes for 4+ homers, are both good options.
Luis Perdomo has struggled to get swings and misses this season and the Cubs have a lot of bats to take advantage of that. I prefer stacking the Cubs, as they could just go off in this spot. Guys like Bryant, Rizzo, Baez, Contreras, and Schwarber are in great power spots tonight.
Both Oakland and San Francisco are in great spots when discussing their pitching opponents, BUT the park is SO BAD. Can teams score a lot of runs here? Yes. Is it favorable? No. I don’t mind playing anyone in this game from an offensive standpoint, but understand that home runs and scoring are neutralized by this park.
Coors is always a great option and I think it will be an ownership play today. I don’t love Coors today, but it’s possible no one else does either. If people are convinced to play other offenses over Coors today, I will play Coors. This field just instantly allows anything to happen. Coors as chalk today is not my cup of tea because I think both pitchers can throw a solid game.
Secondary Stacks: Yankees, Rangers, and Indians