There is a huge 10-game slate on the board for Friday night in the NBA, and there is some big-time chalk already at about 11 am EST. As always in NBA DFS, make sure to keep up with the news throughout the day to maintain the biggest edge possible.
The Suns are going to be without DeAndre Ayton tonight, and this has caused some of the biggest chalk of the season with his backup Aron Baynes being $3,000 on DraftKings. Baynes has been priced up appropriately on FanDuel, and he is just a fine play if we get news that he is starting.
I think that the most likely scenario in this matchup is that Aron Baynes plays significant minutes against Hassan Whiteside and I love Baynes if he gets the start. Last game, Ayton and Saric played all 48 of the center minutes, meaning that I think that we will likely see Baynes and Saric do the same here.
If Baynes doesn’t start for some reason, I like whoever starts for the Suns a ton in cash games and GPPs. They only really have three players on their roster that they would consider playing at center barring an emergency, and two of them played 0 minutes in their last game.
While Dario was able to handle the 5 against usual power forward Pascal Siakam last game, he cannot play 35 minutes at the 5 vs. Hassan Whiteside in this matchup.
Saric is also very high owned, and I don’t think that is nearly as necessary. While Saric should see significant time at the 4 and could possibly play the backup 5 as well, the Suns are very willing to run players like Cam Johnson and Mikal Bridges at the 4 for the entire game if they had to.
I like Saric, but I don’t think that this situation changes for him as much as the field does.
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Pacers Backcourt Injuries
Brogdon, Oladipo, and Warren are all currently questionable heading into morning shootaround, and the Pacers injury report has the power to flip this slate upside down depending on the results. If I had to guess right now, I assume that Warren plays after getting cut and receiving stitches.
Brogdon and Oladipo are both very much up in the air, but against the Bulls, I think I lean towards them sitting out another game.
If this is the case, I love TJ McConnell, and I think that Aaron Holiday becomes very sneaky in GPPs. McConnell is not a sure thing in fantasy because he struggles to create his own shot and score with any consistency, but he is a fantasy point per minute player due to the number of counting stats that he can rack up.
While we have not seen this exact injury situation before for the Pacers, I think that their game vs. the Warriors in late January provides a good estimate as to what we will see here from Indiana. They are missing 27 minutes from Lamb and potentially 23 minutes from McDermott.
In this game, both Holiday and McConnell scored a fantasy point per minute in about 29 minutes, and I think that we could see anywhere from 30-35 minutes from both of them if the injury report is full.
Orlando on FanDuel?
The Magic are in a fantastic spot against a dreadful defense in Minnesota, and FanDuel has very, very cheap prices for both Nikola Vucevic and Aaron Gordon. I prefer Gordon and the savings if I have to choose one, but both dropped 48+ in this matchup just a week ago.
Gordon has been playing a lot more minutes at the 4 since returning from the all-star break, and this drastically improves his production. He is way too cheap in this matchup where he triple-doubled four games ago.
Trae Young is popular on both sites, and for good reason, however, I do think that it is possible that Young gets over-owned due to his price point. Young is $9,900 on both sites, and this does cause more people to gravitate to him because his price is only four digits.
While Young is a great play against Washington in a fast-paced game, make sure that you are aware that a small discount will get a lot more ownership than he would have had at $10,100.