This week of college football lacks a ton of great games, although we do have a few ranked games to address here. What I do like is the opportunity that we have to take some favorites at prices that have not adjusted enough yet this week.
Oklahoma State (-10) at Texas Tech
This one is a no-brainer for me with the way Texas Tech played against Oklahoma last week. Tech was the worst tackling team in had seen all season in that game, and they looked like a complete trainwreck against Oklahoma’s athletes.
Now, No. 21 Oklahoma State doesn’t have the same athletes, but their three best players rival the three best at Oklahoma, and I think that they will produce with similar results. I see absolutely no way for this Red Raiders team to stop both Chuba Hubbard and Tylan Wallace at the same time.
Both Hubbard and Wallace look like top five players at their position in college football, and these two should be able for over 350 total yards alone against this Texas Tech defense. I expect Oklahoma State to score at will in this game, and I like their team total here as well.
Texas Tech’s offense will be without its starting QB, and both backups struggled in their time last week. It was very clear that Jett Duffey was the better option for this offense moving forward, but that is not a good thing. This offense looked confused with Duffey at the helm last week, and I expect multiple turnovers for this team, which should really dig their grave.
Purdue at Penn State (-28.5)
This game makes me a bit uneasy, but I have to trust the process and take Penn State to absolutely smoke Purdue. Purdue will be without its quarterback and its best player in this football game, and I think this game will most likely be incredibly ugly.
Purdue was able to hang around with Minnesota after losing both quarterback Elijah Sinclair and wide receiver Rondale Moore in the first quarter last weekend, but I just think that this Penn State team at home is a different animal. No. 12 Penn State is at home after a Friday night game, while the Boilermakers have to travel to State College after losing almost all hope of having a productive season without their two star players.
I think that this is gut-check time for Purdue, and I believe that Penn State will deal a knockout punch to the Boilermakers on Saturday afternoon.
Michigan State at Ohio State (-20)
The Buckeyes opened this game at -17 in most spots and immediately got bet up to -20 across the board. I think that this number is still just too low for the talent gap here.
No. 4 Ohio State is the most complete team in football, and I think that will be on display yet again on Saturday night. This team has outscored opponents in the first half 173-18, and the only touchdown allowed was on a trick play by Indiana that got a tight end WIDE open down the field.
Ohio State’s dominance is even understated by their scores that don’t show how basically every stat they have allowed on the defensive side of the ball has come during garbage time. In the last two meetings, Michigan State has scored nine points against the Buckeyes, and this defense is WAY better than the two previous Ohio State defenses.
For Ohio State’s offense, I think that the running game will determine just how ugly this game gets. No. 25 Michigan State currently ranks as one of the best run defenses in the country, but I am skeptical that anyone can stop the two-headed attack of Justin Fields and JK Dobbins. Dobbins is second in the country in rushing yards without coming anywhere close to playing a full game.