We are just over a year away from Super Bowl LV, but it is never too early to look ahead to some early odds and get a jump on the field. There are some different numbers out there so early, so be sure to shop around if you do take the plunge on these futures.
There are only two teams listed at better than +1000, and those are the Baltimore Ravens (+800) and the Kansas City Chiefs (+600). These are two teams with young quarterbacks and nice rosters to build on moving forward, so this should not really be a surprise to anyone.
I prefer the Chiefs here significantly for a few reasons. I think that the Chiefs are a more consistent team as a whole, and I still do have questions about the Ravens’ ability to win big games with Lamar Jackson at QB.
We can talk about his passing stats all we want, but Jackson is just not an elite passer in a normal context. What the Ravens have done so well is create an offense where teams are confused, and it allows for a lot of broken coverages and one-on-one matchups that are easier for the quarterback to take advantage of.
I think that it is very possible for the Ravens to get one bad passing game from Jackson and be knocked out, and I really don’t want to bet on that situation as the second-highest team on the board.
The Chiefs’ offense is set to be almost completely intact at the beginning of next year, and that is really all I need to know that this team will be a Super Bowl contender next year. As they have shown in the playoffs this season, the Chiefs are capable of keeping up with anyone, and there are really no questions about that moving forward.
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The Comeback “Kids?”
The San Francisco 49ers are listed at +1000, and I like those odds, but I prefer the Chiefs and others down the board. If the 49ers lose on Sunday, I’d expect their momentum and odds to subside a bit, and that would be ideal for getting a better number.
The next two teams are the New Orleans Saints (+1200) and the New England Patriots (+1400). Both of these teams have quarterback questions for what seems like the first time in 20 years, but that hasn’t stopped oddsmakers from listing them as some of the best teams in the NFL last year.
I really like the Saints’ odds at +1200 because of their team structure and their success last season with Teddy Bridgewater while Brees was hurt. Obviously, a Brees retirement will deter bettors and decrease odds, but I feel comfortable enough with the Saints’ situation either way to take the plunge.
For the Patriots, I will wait on this number, because if Tom Brady were to leave, this team has no backup at all, and I just don’t think the number is worth the risk. This team needs to draft well and make a free agency splash or two before I jump on board with the lack of roster talent on offense.
There is always a team or two that makes a crazy jump from one year to the next, and I will travel to all levels to try and find a team of value that can make a big jump. The Dallas Cowboys are +2000, and they are a top five team in terms of raw roster talent, assuming they re-sign Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper.
I will not bet on them until this happens, but I think that this could be a 12-4 team next year if the offense improves under its new regime.
Now, let’s really have some fun because I love these next two teams heading into next year, and they are priced fantastically. Maybe a Super Bowl bet on them is a little ambitious, but the value is there, and I will really like playoff and win total bets for both of these teams.
The Carolina Panthers bring in a new, young head coach to a team with talented young players along with a fantastic offensive coordinator. Joe Brady gets it, and I think that this team has the potential to shock some people early and often next year, especially if we get a healthy Cam Newton on this team.
Brady and new head coach Matt Rhule are now known for their quick turnarounds, and this team has plenty of raw talent to make a run.
If you thought that was gross, this one may push you over the edge. I think that the Washington Redskins being the lowest team on the board at +15000 is egregious because of their youth and upside in a short period of time.
The Redskins were 3-13 last year, but they went through a coaching change, had a quarterback battle all season, started three rookie receivers at the end of the season, and their best player held out due to a health dispute.
Now, the Redskins enter next season with a second-year quarterback in Dwayne Haskins, who improved drastically late in the season, with a clear top wide receiver in his second year in Terry McLaurin.
They can draft defensive end Chase Young to go alongside one of the most talented front sevens in the league, they’ll have Trent Williams all season, and the team will be under a new coaching staff led by Ron Rivera with a young offensive coordinator in Matt Cavanaugh.
This isn’t exactly the 49ers from this season because that team had more proven talent, but I think that the Redskins are a lot more similar than most want to believe.