This week is a very unique week where we have 3 games that will dominate the fantasy player pool. Instead of go position by position, I think giving a breakdown of these 3 games and how they should go is going to be one of the biggest edges on the slate.
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Kansas City vs. Browns
The Browns are in turmoil. Shocker! They recently fired their head coach and offensive coordinator. I think this is a good move long term, but no one really knows what it does THIS week. I do however feel confident that the Chiefs defense is bad. The Chiefs have been significantly better at home defensively for a long time, as they have a great home field advantage. This means that their defense the last 2 weeks is NOT what you should expect on Sunday. I think that the Browns will put up a lot of points here in catchup mode. The line here is very sketchy and is actually still moving towards the Browns. I love the Browns offense here. Landry provides a nice target floor, Callaway has big play upside, and Njoku is an elite red zone target. No one is going to go towards these guys the way they should. I don’t mind either running back here, especially Chubb as they seem to want to get him the ball a lot.
The Chiefs side is pretty simple. Play them. The offense is incredibly dynamic and I won’t talk you off any of them in really any format. I expect more points here than Vegas by a pretty wide margin. You can make some good money playing Kansas City PlayPicks this weekend!
Buccaneers vs. Panthers
The Bucs offense has been pretty dynamic under their new offensive coordinator. For example, Jameis Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick combined are actually averaging MORE than Patrick Mahomes in fantasy points per game. That is insane. The scary thing about playing these guys is at this point, I think it is 2 picks and you’re out. This is a scary proposition for 2 QB’s that will throw their fair share of INTs, but the upside is clearly there. This Panthers offense should also push them to score points. The guys I like the most in the passing offense is DeSean Jackson. Jackson has been better this year with Fitzmagic under center and he has had bad matchups of late, knocking his price down. I think he can have a monster game in catch-up mode in this game
The Panthers offense has been great this year and I really want exposure to the passing game here. The Bucs recently fired their defensive coordinator that created a clear pass-funnel, but I have no reason to believe this has drastically changed. Now, they even have a few injuries to their key run stoppers as well. Cam, Funchess, Moore, McCaffrey, and Olsen are all great plays at their price and at least one of them is going to get there in a big way. I think that my favorite is D.J. Moore. He has emerged as the clear second WR on this team and I think other value options on this slate are getting more attention than Moore, making him a great GPP play.
Rams vs. Saints
The Rams offense is great and concentrated. There is nothing more you could ask for from a fantasy-friendly offense. The Rams and the Chiefs are clearly the most dynamic offenses week in and week out, but the Rams are drastically more predictable because they really only use 4 skill players. I love all 4 here in a game where they project to score around 4 TDs. That means if they all get one, you probably aren’t too mad about their production and if they score more or one gets a few of them, you will need them in some lineups on Sunday to have a chance. My favorite is Cooper Kupp. He is coming off of an injury and his price around the industry is cheap. McVay has used him in hundreds of different ways to exposure lackluster slot coverage all of the league. This is also the Saints defense’s biggest weakness.
The Saints offense is also rather concentrated, but they do seem less predictable to me. I think it is clear that Alvin Kamara is the lead back in this offense, but he isn’t the bell cow that a lot of his similarly priced counterparts are. I don’t mind Kamara’s upside in a massive total game, but he isn’t my first target. I prefer the vertical passing game here. Trequan Smith is a big play WR going up against a team that has struggled to stop big plays all year. He is too cheap in a game that projects to score so many points. I also think that Michael Thomas goes overlooked here to some degree. He is probably the most sure-handed receiver in the league and the Rams don’t have anyone skilled enough to shut him down if the Saints want to go to him 15 times.
Best of luck with your DFS Lineups!