This slate of NFL DFS has a lot of options to choose from, so I want to take players at all different ownership levels and discuss why I like them at the ownership. These ownerships will vary on sites depending on price, but I am mainly focusing on ownership in DraftKings GPP ownership here.
High Ownership (25%+)
My favorite play on the board this week in GPPs is Julio Jones facing off against a horrible Tampa Bay secondary that also has one of the best run defenses in the NFL. The Falcons are one of the most pass-happy teams in the NFL to begin with, and this spot should only increase that usage.
The Falcons should have basically zero production on the ground in this game, and this should funnel even more usage to the receivers. Jones is still one of the best receivers in the NFL, even though he has flashed less than some others have this season.
The Falcons are now without Mohamed Sanu Jr. after trading him to the Patriots a few weeks ago. They also do not have one of their most targeted receivers in tight end Austin Hooper, who is out again with an injury. Luckily, Jones only had six catches and eight targets last game, keeping his ownership within the atmosphere.
The Second Tier (15-25%)
I like another high-end receiver here with Michael Thomas. I want to fade the top ownership of Alvin Kamara after a big game, and the easiest way to do this is through Thomas. Thomas is an elite receiver, and he can reach 25 PPR points without even scoring a touchdown in the game.
A fade of Kamara in favor of Thomas can really pay off if Thomas gets two touchdowns. The best part about this, though, is that Thomas could get there even with Kamara doing well, so you don’t have to get a bad game from Kamara to have a good play.
The Middle (10-15%)
There are a ton of great plays in the mid-tier, and I want to find a running back with elite upside for his price in this tier. While it’s not always easy to find a back with upside, I want to go back to the well with Kalen Ballage, easily one of the worst players in the NFL. Yes, I know, not the best endorsement.
Ballage has been horrible, but he has continued to get usage. The Browns will be without Myles Garrett for the rest of the season, and their overall defensive pressure should decrease.
While Ballage hasn’t been productive from a yards perspective, he should continue to get targets and goal-line touches. I can’t pass that up at the price.
The Fillers (5-10%)
Joe Mixon has seen nice usage in recent weeks, and I am not going to run away from a solid Steelers defense because of the price. Mixon is an elite talent, and that is the reason he’s a great play in the matchup.
Mixon started off the year really slow behind a bad offensive line and a bad offense in general. With rookie QB Ryan Finley starting and the offense finding a few more playmakers, although not many, Mixon has seen more room to move.
The Dart Throws (0-5%)
Terry McLaurin had a 65-yard reception brought back last week, and the Redskins offense struggled to get into a rhythm until late in the game. The ownership is low here because McLaurin will get a tough matchup with Darius Slay, one of the better cover corners in the league. McLaurin is REALLY fast, and he has been good in matchups against shadow corners this year, so I think the ownership is far too low here.