Ben Roethlisberger is my favorite expensive QB this week because of the situation at hand. The Steelers are without their top 2 RBs this week vs. this horrible Raiders defense. Not only are their running backs out, but their 3rd string RB was basically a really athletic TE in college. Jaylen Samuels should see at least half of the work and I expect him to run a lot of routes when he is out there. If that is the case, I expect Big Ben to drop back in the pocket a lot this week and pick apart the Raiders’ secondary for however long he wants.
Aaron Rodgers is really cheap for his talent level, especially on DraftKings this week vs. a pretty poor Falcons’ secondary. Mike McCarthy got the boot last week on Rodgers’ birthday and we all know how happy that should make Aaron. There have been reports for a long time now that they do not get along and that they are constantly trying to one-up each other. I think this is the perfect week for Rodgers to come out and show the Packers management that they made the right decision and that he should basically run the team moving forward. I believe that he will basically call plays here all game, which has me intrigued. Rodgers could destroy the Falcons, especially if he is playing with a chip on his shoulder.
Christian McCaffrey is very expensive, but I have been mentally preparing myself for this since August. McCaffrey is getting workhorse usage and is more explosive than most of the guys we have seen in the past. McCaffrey can break a 60-yard play at any given time at a much higher rate than most other RBs and the more touches, the more that possibility exists, Without Greg Olsen, CMC has seen more targets in his career, which should continue this week. Also, Cam Newton is dealing with a sore throwing shoulder. He was even subbed out for the Hail Mary play last week. That is music to my ears if I am rostering CMC. It should be check-down city and I am more than fine with that for McCaffrey’s sake.
There are 2 running backs that are the talk of the industry this week. Both are extremely cheap on both sites and both are expected to get a significant workload that you can feel comfortable in their floor. These two guys are Jaylen Samuels and Jeff Wilson. Jaylen Samuels is the Steelers RB that is a rookie and was basically a very dynamic TE in college. Samuel is considered a running back and they will give him carries, but just know that he is a better pass-catcher compared to other RBs than he is a rusher. There have been quotes directly from Samuels that he will split time with Stevan Ridley. Most people think that should mean 50/50, which makes sense. However, since when do the Steelers use a RB-by-committee approach? They are notorious for just throwing the backup into the fire. Maybe that is different with a second string guy going down already and the lack of trust in a rookie third-string back, but is it possible he gets 90% of the work? I think so. Wilson, on the other hand, is in line to get 15-23 touches in a spot where his team projects to be in the game but trailing. Wilson is another guy that made it into the league because he is a good pass-catcher, so I really like Wilson’s floor here.
Michael Thomas is my favorite receiver this week because of the situation he is in. Thomas should be able to do whatever he wants in this game as he did in week 1. However, his recent production will lead some people to go in other directions. I expect 10+ catches and a TD for Thomas this weekend.
Sterling Shepard is in line to see double-digit targets vs. a bad Redskins team. OBJ has been declared out of this game and Evan Engram is supposed to split snaps with Rhett Ellison. The only 2 reliable targets that Eli has are Saquon and Sterling Shepard, so I think Shepard makes tons of sense here.
Chris Godwin and Adam Humphries have both been incredibly productive whenever DeSean Jackson has been out. That should still be the case this week facing a Saints team that has struggled in the secondary but been dominant on offense. Also, the clear bad matchup for the Bucs in this game comes with Mike Evans vs. Marshon Lattimore, so I think that could push even more targets to Godwin and Humphries.