Buccaneers Vs. Cowboys (-7):
This one comes down to who is a better team. The Cowboys are coming off one of their worst losses of the year in Indianapolis, but that game wasn’t as bad as the score may have indicated. The Cowboys continued to drive the ball down the field most of the game but never really capitalized on any opportunities they had to score. It has been heavily noted that the Cowboys have struggled against zone coverage. Amari Cooper and Dak Prescott both have skill sets to exploit man-to-man coverage. The Buccaneers have switched to more man-to-man coverage after defensive coordinator change in the middle of the year. With the way the Cowboys have been running the ball with Zeke after the Amari Cooper trade, I expect the Cowboys to move the ball very easily in this game. The Cowboys have also played much better at home, which bodes well for them here. I like the Cowboys big in this one.
Texans (+2) Vs. Eagles:
I still believe that the Eagles are very exploitable and the Texans are one of the best-equipped teams in football to exploit them. Going into every week, whoever is facing the Texans has all their attention on DeAndre Hopkins. However, Hopkins still seems to eat up corners on a weekly basis. Now, Hopkins and Watson get a horrible Eagles’ secondary that shouldn’t even be on the same field as Hopkins. I think Hopkins is the clear top receiver this week in all of football from a matchup perspective and I think that this offense will score enough to win this game outright. The addition of Demaryius Thomas should also help this offense in this game. He is seemingly becoming more involved in the offense, which should help DeAndre stay open more often.
Bears (-4) Vs. 49ers:
The Bears come into this game off of two big wins, but I do not think they slow down here. The Bears are rolling and I do not think they want to lose this momentum. The 49ers are a better team than a 4-10 team, but their defense is still really bad. This Bears’ offense has found ways to score the football in a creative fashion every single week and I think they will continue to do so here. The biggest matchup in this game may be Vic Fangio vs. Kyle Shanahan. The 49ers are able to scheme guys open every single week, but Vic Fangio is one of the most adaptive defensive play callers in the sport. I think Fangio puts in enough work to try and counter the 49ers offense better than most teams can. If that is the case, the line should be at least a touchdown here, even with the Bears on the road. This 49ers offense will turn the ball over and let the Bears escape with a comfortable win.
Chiefs (+2.5) Vs. Seahawks:
This is an interesting game due to all of the factors involved. The Seahawks are a much better football team at home and they have been that way for years now. They also have become a dominant run team this season with a cast of what I almost consider to be outcasts. The Chiefs are an incredibly effective offense that has been able to move the ball against everyone they have played. The biggest question in this game for me is the weaknesses. I think that the Seahawks struggle with explosive plays on both sides of the ball. Their defensive personnel is more likely to be torched than it has been in recent memory. They also only have one guy that can really make plays downfield right now on the offensive end. The Chiefs want teams to throw the ball on them because it wastes less time on the clock, meaning more possessions for their offense. However, the Chiefs are going to be much better defensively against a team that plays as conservative as the Seahawks have this year. I think that the Chiefs win this one late, but it should be enough to cover the 2.5 here.