Patrick Mahomes is the highest-priced QB on most sites this week, and rightfully so. Mahomes is facing the Raiders in Arrowhead. This may be the best possible QB matchup in the league, especially for Mahomes. He has struggled the most when under pressure, but the Raiders get almost no pressure on the QB. This, along with the speed of Kansas City, should allow Mahomes to have a massive performance. Also, there is a little narrative that Mahomes wants to show out for the MVP voters, and he needs to help Travis Kelce get the TE receiving yards in a season record as well.
My off the board QB comes from a really intense game in Baltimore. In week 5, Baker Mayfield scored 22 fantasy point while the Browns scored only 12 points in an overtime game. The Browns have made it clear that they are going all out in this game and I think that this young team will thrive in the role of spoiler. I think Baker can move the ball on the Ravens enough to score 30 fantasy points if the touchdowns go his way here.
Saquon Barkley is going to be the most popular running back on the slate at the top end. I believe that this is much more likely to be a horrible spot than others, so I am staying away for the most part. Some people want to spread the narrative that the Giants want to show him off as much as possible. I understand that thought process, but they’ve also not said a word about that, and the Giants aren’t the most intelligent franchise. I would be scared to throw all my eggs into that basket.
The starting running back in Pittsburgh will be my main pivot if we get clarity that the starter will be used exactly how the Steelers always use their starting running back. They get a great spot versus a bad Bengals’ defense as a large favorite. They also do need to win this game, so I expect 4 quarters out of this whole team.
The second tier of running back has 3 clear options. Jamaal Williams, Damian Williams (if Spencer Ware is out), and C.J. Anderson. Jamaal Williams doesn’t need to win the game, but they didn’t seem to step off the gas last week. Williams played basically every single offensive snap, so he will have a nice floor and high ceiling when it comes to touches. Damian Williams should see similar work to the last few weeks if Spencer Ware is out, which definitely warrants a play. C.J. Anderson looked like a fullback all season, but getting touches in the Rams offense can cover that all up. I expect him to see similar work to last week.
My favorite top receivers are Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, and possibly Juju if AB is out. Tyreek Hill is playing a slow secondary without their best corner at home in a game that they want to win alongside Patrick Mahomes who should attempt to how out here. Davante Adams needs 134 yards to set the Packers receiving yards in a season record, which should be motivation enough for him to see a lot of targets and opportunities. Juju and Antonio Brown need to win this game to have a chance at the playoffs. Antonio Brown was undergoing tests on his knee on Friday, which is not ideal for his status. If he doesn’t play, Juju could see 20 targets against a horrible defense.
My favorite lower priced plays are Robert Foster and Robby Anderson. Robert Foster saw 7 targets while only producing 9 fantasy points last week. However, Foster is the deep target for Allen, who has a cannon. It would not be hard to see Foster catch 2 TDs on bombs and break the slate. Anderson is also a deep threat, but he has been more consistent recently due to target volume. Anderson will be more popular than Foster, but he also is much safer.