Week 14 Monday Night Football Pick (12/09/2013) – Cowboys vs Bears

NFL Week 14 – Monday Night Football

Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears +1.5 Total: 48

Monday, December 9th, 2013

We’ll analyze the Monday Night Football game between the Cowboys and Bears this week and give up pick against the point spread.

Dallas Cowboys (7-5)

The Cowboys have won their last two games and are in a heck of a fight for the NFC East with the Philadelphia Eagles. Every game will be critical from here on out for Dallas, a team that will take 1st in the division with a win on Monday Night. The Cowboys have had a long layoff since their last contest, a 31-24 win against Oakland on Thanksgiving Day.

Chicago Bears (6-6)

Chicago has had a rough stretch since Jay Cutler has gone down with injury, but it would be unfair to blame backup Josh McCown for their losses. He has performed more than admirably for Cutler, who will again be sidelined this week. The Bears lost a wild game last week to the Vikings, 23-20. The game went to overtime, and both sides missed several field goals before Vikings’ kicker Blair Walsh kicked the game winner.

Line Movement

This game opened at pk and has seen the majority of bets go on the Cowboys despite the game being played at Chicago. The number is available currently at Bears +1 or +1.5 depending on the sportsbook. The total has come down a few points since the opening number of 49.5. It is around 48 right now, with lines between 47 and 48.

The Play

While I love a home-dog, especially in primetime, this Bears teams is not a squad I want to lay my hard earned money on. Both teams are desperate to win in this oneso motivations won’t be a question mark. When that is the case, I tend to look closely at individual matchups, and I think the Cowboys have the distinct advantage in this game.

One key move is the return of linebacker Sean Lee to the Cowboys. Their rush defense has been terrible in recent weeks, and Lee is by far their best linebacker and tackler. He is a massive upgrade to a defense that certainly needs it.

The Bears woes defensively have not been addressed, and wow, do they ever need it. They are the worst team against the run in the league and have allowed almost 400 yards rushing in the past two weeks. Dallas’ strong running game led by DeMarco Murray may be a significant issue for this unit.

Dallas’ running game versus the Bears frontline is a slam-dunk matchup and one that the Cowboys will power themselves to victory utilizing. This opens up everything for the rest of their offense, giving Tony Romo more time to throw and find Dez Bryant downfield. I think Dallas wins this game comfortably on the road.

Pick: Cowboys -1.5

 

 

 

 

 

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